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HomeEconomics2:00PM Water Cooler 3/23/2022 | bare capitalism

2:00PM Water Cooler 3/23/2022 | bare capitalism


By Lambert Strether of Corrente

Chicken Track of the Day

American Woodcock week at Bare Capitalism. Notice: “Tracks 1 and a pair of – Wing noises adopted by flight tune (doodling) of show flight. Low high quality on account of dealing with noise and problem monitoring the excessive flying fowl in fading gentle. Tracks 3 and 4 – Bomber recordings of the nasal enticements of a male strutting about on his show courtroom! See Monitor 5 for added notes on habits.” Holy moley! “Nasal enticements!”

* * *

Politics

“However what’s authorities itself, however the best of all reflections on human nature?” –James Madison, Federalist 51

“That they had realized nothing, and forgotten nothing.” –Charles Maurice de Talleyrand-Périgord

“When the going will get bizarre, the bizarre flip professional.” –Hunter Thompson

Biden Adminstration

“White Home officers say U.S. has exhausted funds to purchase potential fourth vaccine dose for all Individuals” [WaPo]. “[W]ith Home lawmakers of their house districts this week and unable to agree with Senate leaders on how you can finance any package deal, there isn’t a signal the stalemate will finish quickly.” • Concept: Make the vaccine cash a line merchandise in a invoice sending weapons to Ukraine.

“Kamala Harris seen White Home aides not standing when she walked right into a room as ‘an indication of disrespect,’ guide says” [Business Insider]. “Vice President Kamala Harris felt slighted by White Home aides not standing when she entered right into a room, a part of a sample of ‘perceived snubs’ that the previous senator was ‘fixated’ on, a forthcoming guide by the New York Occasions correspondents Jonathan Martin and Alexander Burns reportedly says.” After which: “Martin and Burns additionally reportedly element Harris’ dissatisfaction together with her coverage agenda, writing that the vice chairman’s staffers proposed that she oversee relationships with Nordic international locations, to no avail. In keeping with Politico, the authors described the proposal as ‘a low-risk diplomatic project that may have helped Harris get adjusted to the worldwide stage in welcoming venues like Oslo and Copenhagen.’” • I’m genuinely at a loss right here. Is it customary for folks to face when a excessive official enters the room? Appears extra like Versailles than a functioning democracy….

“Graham will get combative with Jackson: ‘What religion are you, by the way in which?’”[The Hill]. “Graham opened his questioning by asking Jackson abruptly about her religion. ‘What religion are you, by the way in which?” he requested. When she responded she is a nondenominational protestant, Graham then requested: ‘Might you pretty decide a Catholic?’ When Jackson stated she didn’t really feel snug speaking about her private spiritual views, Graham then pivoted shortly to how Democrats scrutinized Trump’s Supreme Court docket nominee Amy Coney Barrett’s Catholic religion in 2017 and 2020. ‘How would you’re feeling if a senator up right here stated of your religion ‘the dogma lives loudly inside you and that’s of concern’?” he stated, alluding to what Sen. Dianne Feinstein (D-Calif.) famously advised Barrett when she was nominated to a federal appeals courtroom in 2017.” • Musical interlude

“Biden’s Supreme Court docket nominee Ketanji Brown Jackson refuses to outline the phrase ‘girl’ as a result of she’s ‘not a biologist’ as she is grilled on day two of her affirmation listening to” [Daily Mail]. “Quoting late Supreme Court docket decide Ruth Bader Ginsburg, Blackburn stated: ‘Bodily variations between women and men are enduring. The 2 sexes are usually not fungible. A group made up completely of 1 intercourse is completely different from a group composed of each.’ ‘Do you agree with Justice Ginsburg that there are bodily variations between women and men which are enduring?’ the senator requested. When Jackson claimed she had by no means heard the quote, Blackburn requested straight: ‘Are you able to outline the phrase ‘girl’?’ ‘Can I present a definition?’ Jackson responded. ‘No, I can’t,’ she declared, earlier than including: ‘I’m not a biologist’. Jackson’s staunch refusal to supply a definition of a girl got here on the finish of the second day of questioning which tackled the large problems with race, abortion and judicial philosophy.” • The Ginsberg quote comes from her opinion in United States v. Virginia et al. (94-1941), 518 U.S. 515 (1996). Ginsberg in flip is citing to Ballard v. United States, 329 U.S. 187, 193 (1946), written by William O. Douglas. Here’s what Douglas wrote:

It’s stated, nevertheless, that an all male panel drawn from the assorted teams inside a group might be as really consultant as if girls have been included. The thought is that the elements which are inclined to affect the motion of girls are the identical as these which affect the motion of males—persona, background, financial standing—and never intercourse.9 But it’s not sufficient to say that girls when sitting as jurors neither act nor are inclined to act as a category. Males likewise don’t act as a category. But when the shoe have been on the opposite foot, who would declare {that a} jury was really consultant of the group if all males have been deliberately and systematically excluded from the panel? The reality is that the 2 sexes are usually not fungible; a group made up completely of 1 is completely different from a group composed of each; the delicate interaction of affect one on the opposite is among the many imponderables.10 To insulate the courtroom from both might not in a given case make an iota of distinction. But a taste, a definite high quality is misplaced if both intercourse is excluded. The exclusion of 1 might certainly make the jury much less consultant of the group than can be true if an financial or racial group have been excluded.

Hmm. Including: I’m not actual obsessed with “a taste, a definite high quality.” Looks like hand-waving.

Democrats en Déshabillé

I’ve moved my standing remarks on the Democrat Celebration (“the Democrat Celebration is a rotting corpse that may’t bury itself”) to a separate, back-dated submit, to which I’ll periodically add materials, summarizing the addition right here in a “stay” Water Cooler. (Hopefully, some Bourdieu.) It seems that defining the Democrat Celebration is, in reality, a tough downside. I do assume the paragraph that follows is on level all the way in which again to 2016, if not earlier than:

The Democrat Celebration is the political expression of the category energy of PMC, their base (lucidly defined by Thomas Frank in Hear, Liberal!). ; if the Democrat Celebration didn’t exist, the PMC must invent it. . (“PMC” modulo “class expatriates,” after all.) Second, all of the working components of the Celebration reinforce one another. Depart apart characterizing the relationships between parts of the Celebration (ka-ching, however not fully) these parts comprise a community — a Flex Web? An iron octagon? — of funders, distributors, apparatchiks, electeds, NGOs, and miscellaneous mercenaries, with property within the press and the intelligence group.

Notice, after all, that the category energy of the PMC each expresses and is proscribed by different courses; oligarchs and American gentry (see ‘industrial mannequin’ of Ferguson, Jorgensen, and Jie) and the working class spring to thoughts. Suck up, kick down.

* * *

I’ve been considering of frequent traits of “the PMC,” as a result of so many are on show within the present Ukraine battle fever. I ought to say instantly that these are traits of the class; if Balzac have been writing a novel, certainly one of whose characters was an “ultimate kind” of the PMC, these are the traits he ought to embrace. The category, like all the things else, has inner contradictions, and in any case there people completely different by temperament, character, location, occupation, and many others. Nevertheless, if we search for traits that dominate, I believe this record is an efficient begin:

Beliefs of

• Identification politics
• Micro-aggression
• Personalization
• “Preventing for”

Sociology of

• ”Predatory precarity
• Credentialism
• Education habits

Psychology of

• Moralizing
• Sentimental identification
• Doubling down

Beneath “Psychology of,” I thought of including displacement, projection, and denial however I wasn’t certain how peculiar to the PMC they have been. For “education habits,” right here is a picture that reveals what I imply:

Examples of “education habits” embrace Ukraine battle fever, Black Lives Matter (for the PMC), RussiaGate, and many others. Notice additionally I believe “predatory precarity” can provide an account of a whole lot of the educational (and social gathering) behaviors we see, as backstabbing, snitching, betrayal, and so forth. Readers, is that this an excellent begin?

“The Different Manchin’s Conflicts Of Curiosity” [The Lever]. “Far much less consideration has been afforded to the senator’s spouse, Gayle Manchin, a former West Virginia secretary of training, who in March 2021 was appointed by President Joe Biden to co-chair a fee that distributes federal infrastructure grants throughout 13 states, together with West Virginia. However now an investigation suggests Manchin may need monetary ties to a recipient of funding from that fee, an financial growth partnership company referred to as the Appalachian Regional Fee (ARC). Late final summer season, ARC, awarded a $1.5 million grant to the Appalachian Traders Alliance (AIA), a non-profit basis that works to ship funding to small Appalachian companies. The nonprofit’s director, Mike Inexperienced, is a outstanding West Virginia enterprise capital supervisor who additionally serves because the officer and organizer of West Virginia Progress Funding LLC — an organization during which Gayle Manchin has invested, in accordance with federal monetary disclosures.” • Wowsers, an Appalachian NGO? I’m certain the Trillbillies will love this….

2022

“Talking Of Democratic Moderates” [Eschaton]. On Lamb v. Fetterman: “Spending a bunch of wealthy folks cash to ship the message that the Democratic social gathering (as this factors out, Fetterman *is* the sitting Lieutenant Governor, bear in mind) is crammed with a bunch of cophating commies shouldn’t be significantly useful to the model!…. Battle in primaries is ok to me, however folks involved about Model Democrat are usually the individuals who spend their marketing campaign cash tearing it down. I’m not a dirty commie cophater like [checks sign on door] the Democratic Lieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania! Vote Democrat. As caricatures, Fetterman’s the type of man political consultants inform you they need and Lamb’s the type of man they ship. Like telling you they need an everyday man, akin to a farmer, however what they imply is they need a man who owns a 160,000 acre farm property.”

“Susceptible Democrats eye GOP transit masks repeal” [Axios]. “The chair of the Home Democrats’ marketing campaign arm and among the weak members he’s charged with re-electing are voicing help for a Republican-led masks mandate repeal invoice….’I’m utterly over masks mandates,’ Rep. Sean Patrick Maloney (D-N.Y.), who chairs the Democratic Congressional Marketing campaign Committee, advised Axios. ‘I don’t assume they make any sense anymore. I’m for no matter eliminates masks mandates as shortly as potential.’ ‘I believe you’re safer on an airplane than you might be in a restaurant or on the fitness center, so I don’t know why we’re carrying masks within the air.’ … The White Home has threatened to veto the decision, and there’s nowhere close to the extent of help in both chamber for a veto override.” • So I suppose masks aren’t a “Scarlet Letter” in any case? (I want I knew the place this “carried out with”/”over” locution got here from. My impression is that it’s an grownup who’s “over” or “carried out with” a toddler’s habits, however I’m unsure in any respect. Can any readers shed gentle?

2024

“2024 United States presidential election” [Wikipedia]. Sure, there’s already a Wikipedia web page. The record of potential candidate is fascinating (entertainingly together with Joe Manchin). I don’t know if I’d put cash on any of ’em.

“Presidential candidates, 2024” [BallotPedia]. One other record (together with Stacey Abrams and Hillary Clinton; Wikipedia accepts their denials). Gina Raimondo, apparently, on each lists. No matter else one would possibly say about 2016 and 2020, they weren’t mediocre. However that’s how these lists look.

“Jared Polis: The Gaymer Democrats Want?” [The Bulwark]. “But regardless of any, uh, eccentricities, it has been Polis, greater than possibly some other Democrat within the nation, who has succeeded at delivering for Colorado on the central promise of the Joe Biden presidency—one which has persistently flummoxed the president himself: returning a little bit of normalcy to our tumultuous partisan politics. Polis has introduced down the temperature, introduced politicians from throughout the aisle into the fold, and ruled in a manner that appeals to (or at the very least earns grudging acknowledgement from) many Republican voters. In a midterm yr wanting ugly for Democrats, Polis is operating for re-election—and that normalcy is paying huge dividends for him.” • Colorado readers?

Our Famously Free Press

One for the reminiscence gap, similar to Iraq:

No opposition events to the proper banned. Naturally.

Clinton Legacy

How about Sundown Boulevard?

All Quiet on the Japanese Entrance?

2024

#COVID19

Case rely by United States areas:

Fellow tapewatchers will be aware that “up like a rocket, down like a stick” section is completed with, and the case rely is now leveling out. At a stage that, a yr in the past, was thought of a disaster, however we’re “over” Covid now, so I suppose not. I’ve added a Fauci Line.

NOTE I shall most actually not be utilizing the CDC’s new “Group Degree” metric. As a result of CDC has mixed a number one indicator (instances) with a lagging one (hospitalization) their new metric is a poor warning signal of a surge, and a poor method to assess private threat. As well as, Covid is a illness you don’t need to get. Even if you’re not hospitalized, you possibly can endure from Lengthy Covid, vascular points, and neurological points. For these causes, case counts — recognized to be underestimated, on account of house take a look at kits — deserve to face alone as a quantity to be tracked, regardless of how a lot the political operatives in CDC management wish to obfuscate it.

The official narrative is “Covid is Over.” Within the fall, the official narrative was “Covid is behind us,” and that the pandemic might be “over by January” (Gottlieb), and “I do know some folks appear to not need to surrender on the great pandemic, however you already know what? It’s over” (Invoice Maher). That narrative was utterly exploded. What a shock! This time, it could be completely different. However who is aware of?

MWRA (Boston-area) wastewater detection:

The MRWA is split into two sections, North and South. Each have began rising, and now the rise has visibly affected this chart, which aggregates them. The mixture of the large Omicron spike conceals change, however change there’s. After all, it’s a really small rise. Possibly this time the film will finish in another way.

The Massachusetts Water Sources Authority (MWRA) service space contains 43 municipalities in and round Boston, together with not solely a number of college programs however a number of giant universities. Since Boston is so very education-heavy, then, I believe it could possibly be an excellent main indicator for Covid unfold in faculties usually.

For grins, right here is the regional Biobot Analytics knowledge for the final six weeks:

(Linear for the final six weeks with finish date of March 16.) Confirms MWRA’s slight rise within the Northeast. Notice additionally the growing dominance of BA.2, additionally within the Northeast. I want Biobot would make this knowledge present and detailed sufficient to essentially function a examine on CDC (which, as I famous yesterday, hasn’t acquired the kinks in its dashboard labored out, even when we may belief them to not jigger the information).

From CDC Group Profile Stories (PDFs), “Speedy Riser” counties:

Every now and then I consider casting off this chart. Then one thing like Nevada occurs (which, whether it is knowledge, is persistent and in addition not famous by CDC). Keep in mind that these are fast riser counties. A county that strikes from crimson to inexperienced shouldn’t be covid-free; the case rely simply isnt, nicely, rising quickly.

The earlier launch:

Right here is CDC’s interactive map by county set to group transmission from yesterday:

Persevering with sluggish enchancment, assuming the numbers aren’t jiggered.

Hospitalization (CDC Group Profile):

Farewell, sea of inexperienced! From the viewpoint of our hospital-centric well being care system, inexperienced in every single place means the emergency is over (and to be truthful, that is strengthened by case rely and wastewater). Nevertheless, group transmission continues to be pervasive, which implies that lengthy Covid, plus persevering with vascular harm, are not over. (Notice development, whether or not up or down, is marked by the arrow, at prime. Admissions are offered within the graph, on the backside. So it’s potential to have an upward development, however from a really low baseline.)

Dying fee (Our World in Information):

Complete: 999,792 998,840. Massive, huge milestone nearly achieved, and on a bipartisan foundation, too. Happily, the numbers are headed downward. I’ve added an anti-triumphalist Fauci Line.

Covid instances in prime us journey locations (Statista):

Stats Watch

Housing: “United States New Dwelling Gross sales” [Trading Economics]. “New house gross sales in america fell 2% from a month earlier to a seasonally adjusted annual fee of 772 thousand in February of 2022, following a revised 8.4% drop within the earlier month and beneath market expectations of 810 thousand.”

* * *

The Bezzle:

And naturally:


* * *

At this time’s Worry & Greed Index: 44 Worry (earlier shut: 44 Worry) [CNN]. One week in the past: 22 (Excessive Worry). (0 is Excessive Worry; 100 is Excessive Greed). Final up to date Mar 23 at 1:27pm. Undecided what’s in Mr. Market’s thoughts, right here. Settling in for the lengthy haul in Ukraine? Weapons shares?

Sports activities Desk

Notice, nevertheless, the comment about Covid:

Small behavioral adjustments add up. Not spitting on the ground turned the brand new regular (and enforced by regulation):

The Gallery

Low key (1):

Low key (2):

Whistler, IIRC, collected Japanese prints; he couldn’t have seen Hasui’s, which dates from 1930, however I ponder if he noticed the same one.

Video games

My persevering with quest:

I ponder if it’s any good as a sport?

Our Famously Free Press

“In Protection Of Mass Censorship” [The Onion]. “When The Onion’s editorial board convened to debate the tumultuous occasions of the earlier month, one conclusion turned evident: The world stands at a crossroads. Two visions of our collective future stand earlier than us: On one facet is a free and enlightened society, devoted to the rules of openness, tolerance, and debate; the opposite is constructed upon ignorance, concern, and the suppression of dissent. At this time, the trail ahead couldn’t be clearer. Merely put, we want mass censorship now.”

Groves of Academe

“UCLA Pummeled Over Adjunct Job With out Pay” [Insider Higher Ed]. “The job itemizing for an assistant adjunct professor was very clear: ‘The Division of Chemistry and Biochemistry at UCLA seeks functions for an assistant adjunct professor on a with out wage foundation. Candidates should perceive there might be no compensation for this place.’… Invoice Kisliuk, director of media relations at UCLA, stated the college’s motion was not outdoors the norm in increased training. ;UCLA is dedicated to offering truthful compensation to college throughout the establishment. Some positions could also be with out wage when people are compensated by different sources and a proper affiliation with UCLA is critical,’ he stated. ‘These positions are thought of when a person can understand different advantages from the appointment that advance their scholarship, akin to the power to use for or keep grants, mentor college students and take part in analysis that may profit society. These preparations are frequent in academia and, in instances the place formal classroom educating is a part, compensation for these companies is offered commensurate to expertise and with an eye fixed to fairness throughout the unit.’ Earlier than he knew of UCLA’s response, Timothy Burke, a professor of historical past at Swarthmore School, posted on Fb. ‘I’m seeing lots of people developing with explanations that try and rationalize this: it’s for an inner candidate who has a funding stream elsewhere, it’s an try to assist a candidate coming over from trade acquire the educating expertise that may make them aggressive, it’s another insidery plan, it’s union-busting,’ he wrote. ‘Even the ‘harmless’ explanations are disgusting as a result of it doesn’t matter what they’re, the entire thing is a *lie*. .” • Oof. On the intense facet, if they will rent a professor to work for nothing, they will most likely fund one other administrator!

“Why Are Students Such Snitches?” [Chronicle of Higher Education]. “[Has higher education], on the entire, develop into a hotbed of craven snitches. From all the things I’ve heard and skilled, the reply is sure….. Allow us to provisionally outline snitching as turning somebody in anonymously, for both minor or nonexistent offenses, or pretextually. Additionally: utilizing institutional mechanisms to kneecap rivals, harass enemies, settle scores and grudges, or benefit oneself. To not point out squealing on somebody for social-media posts and becoming a member of on-line mobs to protest workouts of educational and mental freedom. This final is a variant of the “social-justice snitch,” a burgeoning class composed of those that need to defund the police and reform the criminal-justice system however are nonetheless completely satisfied to feed the maws of a regularly unprocedural and (many say) racist campus-justice system. There are, to make certain, right-wing college students and organizations devoted to harassing professors whose politics they object to, however that’s to be anticipated. What’s not is the so-called campus left failing to note the diploma to which the “carceral flip” in American increased ed — the prosecutorial ethos, the assets reallocated to regulation and punishment — shares a sure cultural logic with the rise of mass incarceration and over-policing in off-campus America. Or that the zeal for policing mental borders has sure resonances with the signature ways of Trumpian America, for which unpoliced borders are equally insupportable. However what care social-justice varieties about fostering the carceral college if these with suspect politics will be flattened, even — fingers crossed! — expelled, or left unemployed and penurious?… Is snitching a perform of character, the results of a trait you both possess or don’t? Or is it quite that sure institutional contexts, like prisons, incentivize snitching? In increased ed’s overfunded, secretive, and ever-expanding punishment infrastructure (hiring for which now vastly outstrips new school strains), glutted with obscure rules about all the things from romance to comportment to humor, snitching has develop into a blood sport.” • See my feedback on the PMC above. Maybe I used to be too type.

Class Warfare

“Life expectancy within the US dropped by an astounding 1.8 years through the first yr of the pandemic” [WSWS]. You say that prefer it’s a foul factor. “Regardless of the grim information on the decline in life expectancy, shares traded increased on the President’s announcement that there can be little carried out in the way in which of impeding the surge of infections. Having recouped all their losses from Monday when Omicron’s dominance was introduced, yesterday the Dow closed 261 factors up at 35,753. As comparisons between China and the US present, the drop in life expectancy is a purely political phenomenon attributable to the insurance policies the ruling elites have employed that proceed to position income over lives, as evidenced by the monetary aristocracy’s trillions amassed.”

Information of the Wired

“Early Fashionable Memes: The Reuse and Recycling of Woodcuts in Seventeenth-Century English Standard Print” [The Public Domain Review]. “Lately meme tradition has exploded the potential of inventory imagery. The repetition and reuse of pictures in web memes, significantly people who intentionally exploit inventory pictures which are one way or the other each generic and oddly particular, has hanging parallels to woodcut tradition in seventeenth-century England. Simply ask ‘distracted boyfriend’, lustfully ogling a passing girl whereas his indignant girlfriend seems on in disgust. Initially uploaded to the inventory photograph database iStock beneath the outline ‘Disloyal man along with his girlfriend taking a look at one other woman’, this twenty-first-century ‘how-de-do man’ has develop into frequent fodder for web tradition. He reappears many times, every of the characters within the picture relabeled to create a brand new nexus of interpretation. However this time, printers and booksellers are usually not the gatekeepers of that means. Anybody can obtain the picture, add their very own textual content, and share their meme with an viewers on-line. Whereas woodcuts could possibly be shared unencumbered by copyright legal guidelines that wouldn’t begin showing till the eighteenth century, inventory photograph imagery and the memes that use them appear to duplicate regardless of their authorized possession. Though inventory pictures just like the disloyal man’s are usually not meant for use at no cost, the web has made paywalls simply scalable. As soon as the picture sharing and content material aggregating web sites get ahold of them, there’s no stopping their potential unfold. A faster, simpler, and extra nameless course of than a woodcut altering arms from one printer to a different, however a not dissimilar one.”

AI generated?


* * *

Contact info for crops: Readers, be happy to contact me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, to (a) learn the way to ship me a examine if you’re allergic to PayPal and (b) to learn the way to ship me pictures of crops. Greens are tremendous! Fungi and coral are deemed to be honorary crops! If you’d like your deal with to look as a credit score, please place it at the beginning of your mail in parentheses: (thus). In any other case, I’ll anonymize through the use of your initials. See the earlier Water Cooler (with plant) right here. By way of JU:

JU writes: “Right here’s a photograph of Golden Poppies amidst a granite outcrop, giving it the look of gold veins in quartz. I believe we’re many weeks away from peaking and fields of gold will develop into epic proportions after which disappear all the sudden.”

* * *

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Right here is the display screen that may seem, which I’ve helpfully annotated.

My favourite type of backyard!

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